梅雨锋暴雨过程中两次对流活动的特征分析
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P458.121;P412.25

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中国气象局复盘总结专项(2023-060)


Characteristic analysis of two convective activities during the Meiyu front rainstorm
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    摘要:

    2016年7月1日安徽境内出现了一次造成严重洪涝灾害的强梅雨锋暴雨过程,主要由两个中尺度低涡活动引发,暴雨中心桐城出现"列车效应",次中心巢湖出现"列车带效应"。本文基于常规观测、地面加密自动观测、多普勒天气雷达和欧洲中期天气预报中心(European Center for Medium-range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF)0.25°×0.25°的ERA5再分析资料,分析了两地对流的发生发展及其与中尺度低涡活动的关系。结果表明:这次暴雨发生在双阻型、高空有冷涡、副热带高压稳定维持的背景下,两个中尺度低涡活动引发强降水。多条强对流短雨带在高空气流引导下自西向东移动依次经过巢湖,形成巢湖"列车带效应"。不断触发的新风暴沿西南—东北向雨带依次经过桐城,形成桐城"列车效应"。影响巢湖和桐城的风暴均呈低质心结构,风暴合并后降水明显增强。巢湖"列车带效应"位于中尺度低涡C1西南象限的冷式切变线右侧,动力不稳定较明显,既有低涡后部冷空气入侵南部暖湿空气触发对流风暴后由西北向东南方向依次经过巢湖,也有南部超低空急流触发对流风暴后由西南向东北方向依次经过巢湖,形成强降水。桐城"列车效应"处于中尺度低涡C2的东南象限,热力不稳定相对较强,低层冷空气不明显,深厚低空急流与边界层气旋式辐合作用,后向传播的风暴自西南向东北移动经过桐城,造成极端降水。

    Abstract:

    On July 1, 2016, there was a strong Meiyu frontal rainstorm process that caused severe flooding in Anhui, mainly triggered by two mesoscale vortex activity, with a "train effect" at the center of the rainstorm in Tongcheng, and a "train belteffect" at the sub-center in Chaohu.In this article, based on conventional observations, ground-based encrypted automatic observations, Doppler weather radar and the European Center for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ERA5 reanalysis data at 0.25°×0.25°, the development of convection at the two locations and its relationship with the mesoscale low vortex activity were analyzed. Results show that this rainstorm occurred in a double blocking type, with a cold vortex aloft and a subtropical high pressure steadily maintained in the background, and the activity of two mesoscale vortices triggered the heavy precipitation.Multiple strong convective short rain bands moved from west to east under the guidance of upper air currents and passed through Chaohu Lake in sequence, forming Chaohu "train band effect". New storms that were constantly triggered passed through Tongcheng in sequence along the southwest-northeast direction rain band, forming Tongcheng "train effect". The storms affecting Chaohu and Tongcheng all had a low center of mass structure, and precipitation increased significantly after the storms merged. Chaohu "train band effect" was located on the right side of the cold shear line in the southwest quadrant of mesoscale low vortex C1. The dynamic instability was obvious. The cold air from the rear of the existing low vortex invaded the warm and humid air from the south, triggering convective storms, and then moved from northwest to southeast, passing through Chaohu Lake in sequence, and the ultra-low-altitude jet stream in the south triggered convective storms and then passed through Chaohu Lake from southwest to northeast, causing heavy precipitation. Tongcheng "train effect" was in the southeast quadrant of mesoscale low vortex C2. The thermal instability was relatively strong, the low-level cold air was not obvious, the deep low-level jet stream interacted with the boundary layer cyclonic convergence, and the backward-propagating storm moved from southwest to northeast, passing through Tongcheng, causing extreme precipitation.

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范裕祥,叶金印,何志新,陈健,刘汉武,李欣.梅雨锋暴雨过程中两次对流活动的特征分析.气象科学,2025,45(5):678-689 FAN Yuxiang, YE Jinyin, HE Zhixin, CHEN Jian, LIU Hanwu, LI Xin. Characteristic analysis of two convective activities during the Meiyu front rainstorm. Journal of the Meteorological Sciences,2025,45(5):678-689

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  • 收稿日期:2024-03-04
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