北京城市化下垫面对夏季一次强降水过程影响的数值模拟
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P456.7;P458.121.1

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国家自然科学基金重点资助项目(42330611)


Numerical simulation of the impact of urban underlying surface in Beijing on a severe summer rainfall event
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    摘要:

    近年极端降水事件频发,因其持续时间短、过程复杂等特点,预测难度较高。城市作为人类生产生活中心,其下垫面的变化加剧了极端强降水事件的强度和频率。为研究城市下垫面对强降水的影响,本文以北京夏季的一次典型强降水过程作为个例,采用中尺度数值模式WRF进行模拟分析。基于模拟结果,对北京城区进行了城市下垫面的敏感性试验。结果表明:(1)在本次强对流过程中,北京市槽前的上升气流和充足的水汽输送为降水提供了有利条件;(2)城市下垫面导致城市内平均地表温度升高4 K以上,地表感热通量增加26 W·m-2以上,地面将这部分热量以感热的形式输送给低层大气,使得其原先中性以及对流稳定的大气变得不稳定;(3)城市热岛效应增强了城市区域的垂直运动,导致城区降水持续时间延长,极端降水中心值增大,同时这种更强的垂直运动向城市下风向传播,使得下风区域的降水增加(平均小于1.1 mm·h-1);城市扩张后水汽辐合区范围增大,水汽辐合进一步加强,有利于降水的发生。

    Abstract:

    In recent years, extreme precipitation events have occurred frequently. Because of their short duration and complex mechanisms, they are challenging to predict accurately. Cities, as hubs of human production and life, have exacerbated the intensity and frequency of extreme precipitation events due to changes in their underlying surfaces. To investigate the impact of urban underlying surfaces on heavy precipitation, this paper takes a typical heavy precipitation event in Beijing as a case study, using the mesoscale numerical model WRF for simulation and analysis. Based on the outcomes of the simulations, sensitivity tests were conducted on the urban underlying surface in Beijing's urban area. Results indicate that: (1) during this severe convective event in Beijing, the upward airflow ahead of the trough and sufficient moisture transport provided favorable conditions for the precipitation process. (2) The urban underlying surfaces caused an average increase in surface temperature by more than 4 K within the city, resulting in an augmentation of over 26 W·m-2 in sensible heat flux. This heat was then transported from the ground to the lower atmosphere in the form of sensible heat, making the previously neutral and conventionally stable atmospheric conditions unstable. (3) The urban heat island effect enhances vertical motion in urban areas, prolonging the duration of precipitation and increasing the central value of extreme precipitation. Furthermore, this enhanced vertical motion also propagates downstream, leading to an average increase in precipitation of less than 1.1 mm·h-1 in the downwind area. Urban expansion expands the range of the water vapor convergence zone, thereby further intensifying the convergence of moisture and facilitating precipitation.

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万佳惠,闵锦忠,乔云发,曹玉杰.北京城市化下垫面对夏季一次强降水过程影响的数值模拟.气象科学,2025,45(5):664-677 WAN Jiahui, MIN Jinzhong, QIAO Yunfa, CAO Yujie. Numerical simulation of the impact of urban underlying surface in Beijing on a severe summer rainfall event. Journal of the Meteorological Sciences,2025,45(5):664-677

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  • 收稿日期:2023-12-11
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-03-06
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