基于MODIS数据中国近地表气温反演
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P407

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广东乡村地域系统野外科学观测研究站(2021B212050026)


Inversion of near-surface air temperature in China based on MODIS data
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    摘要:

    本文根据中国植被类型将全国划归为5个区:热带阔叶雨林区、温带针叶阔叶混交林区、温带荒漠区、温带草原区以及高原高寒植被区。在每个区域内,基于1 km空间分辨率的MODIS数据,利用遗传算法(Genetic Algorithm,GA)优化反向传播神经网络(Backpropagation Neural Network,BPNN)算法构造环境指标和气候的关系模型,实现对全国近地表气温的反演。结果表明:(1)相比多元线性回归模型(Multivariable Linear Regression Model,MLR),GA-BPNN模型在气温估算中具有一定的优越性,其决定性系数(Coefficient of Determination,R2)为0.90~0.94,均方根误差(Root Mean Square Error,RMSE)为0.44~0.71℃;(2)在不同的时空分布格局中,GA-BPNN模型在植被丰富(如热带阔叶雨林区、温带针叶阔叶混交林区)、地形复杂(如高原高寒植被区)的地区,其拟合精度远高于MLR模型;(3)在气温空间分布上,GA-BPNN模型所获取的气温分布图呈现出明显的时空细节信息,气温整体呈现东南及西北干旱区高、东北及青藏高原低、平原高、山区低的格局,这与实际情况相符合。

    Abstract:

    This paper categorizes the entire country into five zones based on Chinese vegetation types: tropical broad-leaved rainforest, temperate coniferous and broad-leaved mixed forest, temperate desert, temperate grassland, and plateau alpine vegetation. In each zone,utilizing MODIS data with a 1km spatial resolution, the relationship between environmental indicators and climate was established by using the Genetic Algorithm (GA) and optimized Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN) algorithms, which enables the modeling of the national near-surface temperature and its inversion. Results reveal that:(1) compared to the Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) model, the GA-BPNN model exhibits superior temperature estimation, with a coefficient of determination (R2) ranging from 0.90 to 0.94 and a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) between 0.44-0.71 ℃.(2) In various spatial and temporal distribution patterns, the fitting accuracy of the GA-BPNN model significantly surpasses that of the MLR model in regions characterized by abundant vegetation (e.g., tropical broadleaf rainforest area, temperate coniferous broadleaf mixed forest area) and intricate topography (e.g., plateau alpine vegetation area).(3) Regarding the spatial distribution of air temperatures, the maps derived from the GA-BPNN model provide clear spatiotemporal details. (4) In terms of the spatial distribution of temperature, the temperature distribution map obtained by the GA-BPNN model presents obvious information on spatial and temporal details, and the temperature as a whole shows a pattern of high in the Southeast and Northwest arid zones, low in the Northeast and Tibetan Plateau regions, high in the plains, and low in the mountainous regions, which is in line with the actual situation.

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卢文婷,谢淑娟,文雅,林陈捷,刘振华.基于MODIS数据中国近地表气温反演.气象科学,2025,45(2):264-275 LU Wenting, XIE Shujuan, WEN Ya, LIN Chenjie, LIU Zhenhua. Inversion of near-surface air temperature in China based on MODIS data. Journal of the Meteorological Sciences,2025,45(2):264-275

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  • 收稿日期:2023-08-07
  • 最后修改日期:2024-01-17
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-07-03
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