中国南方春季降水年际变化强度的年代际变化及其与海温异常的联系
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国家自然科学基金资助项目(41575069);国家重大科学研究计划项目(2014CB953901);国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFA0600601)


The interdecadal change in the intensity of interannual variation of spring precipitation over southern China and its relationship with the SST anomaly
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    摘要:

    基于1979—2014年中国756个站逐月降水资料,以及ERA-interim再分析资料、哈德莱中心的逐月海表温度资料,通过EOF和相关分析等统计方法,研究了1979—2014年中国南方春季降水年际变化强度的年代际变化,以及与之相关联的环流特征和海温异常信号。结果表明:中国南方春季降水年际变化强度的空间分布在不同的年代有着明显的差异,1979—1994年间,华南(SC)春季降水的年际变化强度较大,这与该段时间内春季西太平洋海表温度异常(SSTA)以及前期冬季南太平洋海温三极子(SPT)年际变化强度较大有关,西太平洋(WP)的冷(暖) SSTA会在局地激发出异常的下沉(上升)运动以及反气旋性(气旋性)环流,并通过一个垂直环流,使得华南地区出现异常的上升(下沉)运动,导致华南地区春季降水增多(减少),前冬的SPT则通过影响春季WP的SSTA从而间接影响华南的春季降水。而1995—2006年间,则是长江中下游地区(YZR)春季降水的年际变化强度更强,这可能是与这一时期年际变化加强的春季南印度洋偶极子(SIOD)有关,春季SIOD为正(负)位相时,副高异常偏强(弱)、偏西(东),有(不)利于太平洋上的水汽向长江中下游地区输送,同时中高纬西伯利亚高压脊偏弱(强),东亚大槽较浅(深),干冷空气偏北(南),使得长江中下游地区降水偏多(少)。

    Abstract:

    Based on the observed precipitation data from 756 stations in China, ERA-interim reanalysis dataset, and HadISST dataset for 1979-2014, this paper investigates the Intensity of Interannual Variation (ⅡV) of spring precipitation over southern China during 1979-2014 and the related large-scale atmospheric and oceanic signal through Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) method and other statistical analysis methods. Results show that the ⅡV of spring precipitation over South China (SC) was stronger during 1979-1994, which is related to the spring Western Pacific (WP) Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly (SSTA) and the previous winter South Pacific Tripole (SPT) pattern of SSTA. Anomalous cooler (warmer) SSTA over WP triggers anomalous descending (ascending) motion and lower-level anticyclone (cyclone) in local areas, which in turn induces anomalous ascent (descent) over SC through an anomalous vertical circulation. The SPT can influence the spring precipitation over SC by impacting SST over WP. The stronger ⅡV of SST over WP and SPT led to an intensified ⅡV of spring rainfall over SC. The ⅡV of spring precipitation over middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River (YZR) was more intense during 1995-2006. The intensified interannual variability of spring rainfall over YZR is interrelated with the increase in the amplitude of the spring southern Indian Ocean dipole (SIOD) in early 1990s. During the positive (negative) SIOD, the Western Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH) is stronger (weaker), which is favorable (unfavorable) for the transportation of vapor from Pacific to YZR. At the same time, the pressure ridge over Siberia and East Asian trough is weaker (stronger), enhancing (weakening)the spring precipitation over YZR.

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徐超,乔云亭.中国南方春季降水年际变化强度的年代际变化及其与海温异常的联系.气象科学,2018,38(3):281-292 XU Chao, QIAO Yunting. The interdecadal change in the intensity of interannual variation of spring precipitation over southern China and its relationship with the SST anomaly. Journal of the Meteorological Sciences,2018,38(3):281-292

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  • 收稿日期:2017-04-01
  • 最后修改日期:2017-06-02
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  • 在线发布日期: 2018-07-16
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