宁夏气温、降水、蒸发的变化及其对气候变暖的响应
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THE CHANGES OF TEMPERATURE, PRECIPITATION, EVAPORATION AND THEIR RESPONSE TO THE CLIMATE WARMING
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    摘要:

    本文对近40多a来宁夏气温、降水、小型蒸发皿蒸发量的变化进行了分析,结果表明:宁夏年平均气温具有明显的年代际变化特征,1986年附近发生了一次明显气候跃变,跃变后增温最明显的是冬季;秋季降水量的年代际变化特征较明显,在1978年发生转折,此前宁夏处于多雨时段,其后处于降水偏少的气候背景之中;宁夏小型蒸发皿蒸发量近40 a来存在下降趋势,下降趋势最明显的季节是夏季,最明显的区域是宁南山区;近年来宁夏蒸发量的减少与太阳辐射的减弱及水汽压的增加有关,宁南山区蒸发明显下降,与低云量的减少有关;宁夏平均气温对中国区域气候变暖响应明显,当中国区域平均气温增加1℃(各季及年),宁夏春季平均气温约升高1.1℃,夏、秋、冬季及年平均气温约升高1.3℃;宁夏春季降水量与中国区域同期降水量有密切联系;在全球气候变暖的大背景下,宁夏秋季降水有下降趋势,冬季降水存在上升趋势;宁夏气候有变干的趋势。

    Abstract:

    The 40 a data of temperature,precipitation and evaporation in Ningxia were analyzed,results show that,the mean temperature in Ningxia has a clear decadal change,and around 1986 there was a obvious climat jump,then it is followed by the significant warming in winter.The decadal change of precipitation in autumn is clear,there is a turn in autumn precipitation in 1978,Ningxia had more precipitation than that in previous years,then turned to less than before.Evaporation in Ningxia declines,the most significant season is summer,and the region is south mountain part of Ningxia correspondingly.The decrease of evaporation in Ningxia is correlated with the decrease of solar radiation and the increase of vapor pressure.The decrease of evaporation in south mountain area related with the decrease of low cloud cover.The average temperature of Ningxia responses evidently to the regional climate warming in China,the spring average temperature in Ningxia increased 1.1 ℃,1.3 ℃ in summer,autumn and winter as that in China increased 1℃.The amount of precipitation of Ningxia in spring is closely related with the total precipitation in China in the same period.In the background of global climate warming,the amount of precipitation in autumn tends to be less and it tends to be more in winter,the climate tends to be drier in Ningxia.

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郑广芬,陈晓光,孙银川,张智,纳丽.宁夏气温、降水、蒸发的变化及其对气候变暖的响应.气象科学,2006,(4):412-421 Zheng Guangfen, Chen Xiaoguang, Sun Yinchuan, Zhang Zhi, Na Li. THE CHANGES OF TEMPERATURE, PRECIPITATION, EVAPORATION AND THEIR RESPONSE TO THE CLIMATE WARMING. Journal of the Meteorological Sciences,2006,(4):412-421

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  • 收稿日期:2005-04-13
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