江淮切变线强度的定量化描述方法研究
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中国气象局预报员专项(CMAYBY2016-025);江苏省气象局科研基金面上项目(KM201506);江苏省自然科学基金资助项目(BK20161603)


A quantitative description method of shear line strength in Yangtze-Huaihe River Basin
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    摘要:

    从气象观测事实和物理的角度出发,定义了一种江淮切变线强度的定量化的表征方法,即综合与降水关系密切的切变涡度和散度形成能客观近似地刻画切变线附近切变强度的指标量Si=(∂u/∂y+∂v/∂y)。并在此基础上利用再分析资料和实况降水资料分析切变强度与对应降水量之间的关系,分析表明:强切变强度区域与降水雨带有明显的对应关系,降水区往往与强切变强度区域相一致或是比强切变强度区域略偏南;证实了切变强度与降水强度有正相关关系的事实,当切变强度Si=(∂u/∂y+∂v/∂y)≤-5×10-5s-1时,对应区域6 h累积降水量超过10 mm,甚至达到30 mm。

    Abstract:

    In this paper, from the viewpoint of meteorological observations and physics, a quantitative description method is defined to characterize the shear line strength in Yangtze-Huaihe River Basin, that is, an index(Si), which can objectively and approximately describe shear strength near the shear line, is formed by synthesizing shear vorticity and divergence closely related to precipitation. On this basis, the relationship between shear strength and corresponding precipitation is analyzed, which shows that there is an obvious corresponding relationship between the strong shear strength area and precipitation and rain belt, and the precipitation area is usually consistent with the strong shear strength area or with a slightly southern displacement from it. Besides, a positive correlation between shear strength and precipitation intensity has been confirmed. When the index Si=(∂u/∂y+∂v/∂y), the accumulated rainfall in the corresponding area for 6 hours exceeds 10 mm, even reaches 30 mm.

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顾荣直,禹梁玉,韩桂荣,孙泓川,蔡凝昊.江淮切变线强度的定量化描述方法研究.气象科学,2019,39(6):810-817 GU Rongzhi, YU Liangyu, HAN Guirong, SUN Hongchuan, CAI Ninghao. A quantitative description method of shear line strength in Yangtze-Huaihe River Basin. Journal of the Meteorological Sciences,2019,39(6):810-817

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  • 收稿日期:2018-05-30
  • 最后修改日期:2018-12-28
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  • 在线发布日期: 2020-01-07
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